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HASHMARK

Predictive model

Head to head

Type a school or pick from the list. HX seeds an Elo rating (1500 + 55 × composite). Home-field is 60 Elo points unless Neutral site is on (Dublin, CFP, etc.). Win probability and spread come from that gap.

Home
Away
Final

5:30 CT · ESPN+ · Rynearson Stadium · Tape Sacramento St 17–28 Eastern Mich

Home

Eastern Michigan
HX #127 · MAC
33–23

Eastern Mich −10.3 · O/U 55.9

Away

Sacramento State
HX #138 · MAC
Eastern Mich
73.2%
Sacramento St
26.8%

In-game restamp

Same HX prior. Type the score at the stamp. Not a live feed.

HX edge
+174.80
Includes home field
Pregame home win
73.2%
HX before any restamp
Projected wins
4.8 / 2.2
Season, pre-game

Unit vs unit

Each offense stat against the other side's matching defense stat, both as FBS percentiles (100 = best). A gap of 10+ points is an edge. 2026 stats through 2026-11-11; EPA, success rate, explosiveness, and line yards are opponent-adjusted (CFBD). Stats only: the HX line above is the prediction.

Eastern Mich OvsSacramento St D
Edges: O 2 · D 3
Eastern Mich offenseSacramento St defense
  • EPA per playEdge: Sacramento St D
    -0.034 · P7
    0.183 · P23
  • Success rateEdge: Sacramento St D
    37.5 · P19
    43.5 · P32
  • ExplosivenessEven
    1.110 · P4
    1.354 · P13
  • Line yards (run blocking)Edge: Eastern Mich O
    2.90 · P46
    3.32 · P5
  • Rushing (yards per carry)Even
    3.52 · P11
    4.87 · P18
  • Yards per playEdge: Sacramento St D
    4.70 · P3
    5.77 · P32
  • 3rd downEven
    36.6 · P28
    41.6 · P25
  • Havoc (offense allowed vs defense made)Edge: Eastern Mich O
    16.5 · P30
    12.4 · P9
Sacramento St OvsEastern Mich D
Edges: O 0 · D 6
Sacramento St offenseEastern Mich defense
  • EPA per playEven
    -0.147 · P1
    0.233 · P10
  • Success rateEven
    34.5 · P5
    47.5 · P7
  • ExplosivenessEdge: Eastern Mich D
    1.088 · P2
    1.268 · P39
  • Line yards (run blocking)Edge: Eastern Mich D
    2.34 · P2
    2.78 · P67
  • Rushing (yards per carry)Edge: Eastern Mich D
    3.28 · P6
    4.28 · P38
  • Yards per playEdge: Eastern Mich D
    4.49 · P1
    6.00 · P20
  • 3rd downEdge: Eastern Mich D
    31.8 · P8
    41.2 · P28
  • Havoc (offense allowed vs defense made)Edge: Eastern Mich D
    18.2 · P10
    15.0 · P39

Definitions on /stats.

Roster talent

Two-deep composite, transfers included. Unit slices sit under that. OL mass is size, not the ranking.

-4.13
HX rating
-6.21

No sourced talent, class, or size profile for Sacramento St yet (2026 FBS newcomer), so the roster comparison is off for this matchup.

Two-deep

Listed TWO·DEEP where available · CFBD projection otherwise
Eastern MichPosSacramento St
#1Noah Kim GR/TR · 3-star · TR
6'2" · 186 lb · VA
QB—
#12Jace Stuckey RS SO · 3-star
6'2" · 197 lb · IN
QB—
#15Amareon Blue RS FR · 3-star
5'6" · 195 lb · NC
RB—
#24Joey Mattord RS JR · 3-star
6'0" · 192 lb · MI
RB—
#81Nick Devereaux GR/TR · 3-star · TR
6'1" · 190 lb · MI
WR-X—
#86Dalin Wilkins RS SO · 3-star
6'2" · 205 lb · OH
WR-X—
#5Harold Mack SO · 3-star
5'10" · 175 lb · IN
WR-Z—
#85Kozy Isaac RS FR · 3-star
5'11" · 178 lb · FL
WR-Z—
#3Benson Prosper RS SR/TR · 3-star · TR
5'10" · 186 lb · FL
SLOT—
#89Carl Jean-Bart FR · 3-star
5'11" · 180 lb · FL
SLOT—
#9Joshua Long JR/TR · 3-star · TR
6'5" · 242 lb · CA
TE-Y—
#88Tanner Lemaster RS JR/TR · 3-star · TR
6'6" · 245 lb · OH
TE-Y—
#71Tyler Brumfield RS SR/TR · 3-star · TR
6'6" · 305 lb · UT
LT—
#70Samuel Adjin FR · 3-star
6'3" · 292 lb · --
LT—
#55Guzzy Kayed RS JR/TR · 3-star · TR
6'3" · 316 lb · MI
LG—
#78Dennis Strey Jr. GR · 3-star
6'7" · 312 lb · MI
LG—
#65Nicholas Gallegos GR · 3-star
6'3" · 294 lb · IL
OC—
#52Richardo Wourman JR · 3-star
6'2" · 300 lb · --
OC—
#72Cole Dellinger RS JR/TR · 3-star · TR
6'2" · 295 lb · MI
RG—
#76Nily Taylor FR · 3-star
6'4" · 295 lb · OH
RG—
#68Tyler McMillan GR/TR · 2-star · TR
6'5" · 325 lb · MI
RT—
#77Cole Powell RS FR · 3-star
6'6" · 295 lb · CO
RT—
#33Carter Evans GR · 3-star
6'4" · 264 lb · IL
LDE—
#90Hector Gonzalez SO · 3-star
6'5" · 245 lb · --
LDE—
#54Quincy Byas SO · 3-star
6'1" · 230 lb · MO
RDE—
#88Ronn Hardin SR/TR · 3-star · TR
6'3" · 220 lb · OH
RDE—
#5Makhi Gilbert SR · 3-star
6'3" · 282 lb · AL
DT—
#55Javon Thomas RS SO · 3-star
6'4" · 280 lb · MI
DT—
#58Peyton Christian SR/TR · 3-star · TR
5'11" · 300 lb · TX
NT—
#99Warren-Stevens Tayou GR/TR · 3-star · TR
6'1" · 290 lb · CA
NT—
#98Joseph Oluwayemi SR · 3-star
6'1" · 310 lb · TX
DL—
#3Barry Manning RS SR · 2-star
6'1" · 212 lb · GA
MLB—
#51Elgin McDuffey JR/TR · 3-star · TR
6'0" · 232 lb · MS
MLB—
#11Zach Mowchan GR · 3-star
6'2" · 224 lb · PA
WLB—
#40Bryce Eliuk RS JR · 2-star
6'1" · 222 lb · MI
WLB—
#25Rayquan Adkins RS JR/TR · 3-star · TR
5'11" · 178 lb · FL
LCB—
#16Caleb Coley GR/TR · 3-star · TR
6'0" · 162 lb · GA
LCB—
#17Caleb Dobbs RS JR · 3-star
6'0" · 162 lb · FL
RCB—
#7Jordan Toney RS JR · 3-star
6'4" · 195 lb · GA
RCB—
#8Jaivian Norman RS JR · 2-star
5'9" · 185 lb · OH
NB—
#29Donmiel Rogers SO · 3-star
5'10" · 175 lb · OH
NB—
#13Jason Marshall RS SR · 5-star
6'3" · 201 lb · MI
FS—
#4Juan Salas RS SR/TR · 3-star · TR
5'8" · 181 lb · CA
FS—
#6Bryce Llewellyn GR/TR · 3-star · TR
5'11" · 207 lb · IN
SS—
#20Ray Hester RS SO · 3-star
5'11" · 190 lb · MI
SS—