Sunday night at Nissan Stadium (6:30 CT, ABC): inaugural Music City Kickoff, the only ranked-on-ranked game in Week 1 — AP No. 9 Ole Miss vs No. 24 Louisville. HX has Ole Miss −7.9 (68.9%). The sourced Vegas close is Ole Miss −6.5 (O/U 55.5).
HX ranks Ole Miss eighth (5.49, +1 vs AP). This is the models-agree counterpoint to the LSU card. The first regular-season AP poll posts Tuesday, Sept. 8.
Why it matters
Sole ranked-ranked Week 1 game; clean HX≈Vegas control story.