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Week 4 · Winner flip

Vegas has Miss State −6.5. HX has Missouri −9.5.

Two newly relevant SEC teams — and HASHMARK flips the home favorite in Starkville.

HASHMARK desk · Friday, Sep 25, 2026

No. 19 Missouri visits No. 24 Mississippi State on Saturday (6:45 CT, SEC Network). Live HASHMARK: Missouri −9.5 / 71.9%. Vegas close on the schedule: Miss St −6.5, O/U 58.5 — a winner flip of roughly 16 points from favorite to favorite.

HX ranks Missouri 15th (4.26) vs AP 19; Mississippi State is HX 67th (0.20) while AP Week 4 has the Bulldogs 24th for the first time since 2022. That is a massive HX–ballot disagreement on the home side. FPI has Mississippi State 22nd — closer to AP than to HX.

Yahoo frames Kamario Taylor’s early star turn and last year’s 4–0-then-collapse MSU pattern. Stick to the schedule number. Pair with A&M–LSU and Ole Miss–Florida if the cut is an SEC flips thread — Missouri is the quiet third flip on Saturday night.

Why it matters

Completes the SEC winner-flip trio; HX’s Miss State under-rank vs a new AP entry.