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Week 5 · Spread gap

Vegas has Alabama −6. HX has Alabama −13.3 — and Miss State is still HX 66th.

AP’s No. 16 hosts No. 7. HASHMARK’s ballot gap on the Bulldogs is the loudest on the board.

HASHMARK desk · Friday, Oct 2, 2026

No. 7 Alabama visits No. 16 Mississippi State on Saturday (11:00 CT, ABC). Live HASHMARK: Alabama −13.3 / 77.9%. Vegas close on the schedule: Alabama −6.0, O/U 59.5 — a 7.3-point chill, same favorite.

The ranking fight is louder than the spread. Mississippi State climbed to AP 16 after beating Missouri 31–24 (NCAA Week 5). HX still has the Bulldogs 66th (0.21) — a −50 gap vs the Week 5 ballot, and the site’s Week 4 stamp already showed −42 vs AP 24. Alabama is HX 9th (5.28) against AP 7.

CBS frames Kamario Taylor (SEC-leading yards of offense per game) against Keelon Russell’s recent explosion (685 yards, seven TDs in the last two). Both sides are 4–0. Stick to the schedule number. Pair in social with the Florida–Missouri flip if Marketing wants an “SEC numbers” thread — Starkville is the morning ABC window.

Why it matters

Biggest HX–AP disagreement meeting a live ranked home underdog; clean Make-12 / CFP resume stress for both.