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Week 5 · Winner flip

Vegas has Louisville −6.5. HX has NC State −0.6.

Louisville fell out of the AP. HASHMARK flips the favorite in Raleigh.

HASHMARK desk · Friday, Oct 2, 2026

Louisville visits NC State on Saturday (2:30 CT, ACC Network). Live HASHMARK: NC State −0.6 / 51.6%. Vegas close on the schedule: Louisville −6.5, O/U 60.5 — a winner flip of roughly seven points from favorite to favorite.

HX still has Louisville 26th (2.98) after the team dropped out of the Week 5 AP (was 16 on the Week 4 stamp). NC State is HX 33rd (2.10) and unranked. Wake Forest’s win at Louisville last week helped push the Cardinals off the ballot (NCAA others-receiving-votes list still has Louisville with 25 points).

Stick to the live schedule number. Pair with Miami–Clemson if Marketing wants an ACC Saturday thread — this is the quieter flip under the Death Valley ABC card.

Why it matters

Clean winner flip on a team HX still rates inside the top 30 after an AP exit.