Week 1 · Friday, Sep 4
Toledo at Michigan St
FINAL · FS1 · Spartan Stadium
Pregame HX
Toledo −7.0
67.1% to win
Vegas line
Michigan St −10.0
O/U 46.5
HX pick
Wrong
Line missed by
17.0 pts
Pregame HX is the board frozen when this game was stamped FINAL; later refits never change it. Run it on today's board · Week 1 accuracy
Box score
Team totals
| Stat | Toledo | Michigan St |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 10 | 26 |
| Total yards | 273 | 397 |
| Rushingcarries–yards | 20–77 | 49–150 |
| Yards per carry | 3.9 | 3.1 |
| Passingcomp/att, net yards | 12/21, 196 | 26/34, 247 |
| 3rd down | 1–8 | 6–18 |
| 4th down | 0–1 | 2–3 |
| TurnoversINT thrown + fumbles lost | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks (by defense) | 3 | 2 |
| Tackles for loss | 5 | 6 |
| Penaltiesnumber–yards | 7–39 | 4–43 |
| Time of possession | 16:44 | 43:16 |
Advanced
Offense, all plays
| Stat | Toledo | Michigan St |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per offensive play | 0.096 | 0.008 |
| Success ratePlays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance | 28.6% | 37.6% |
| ExplosivenessAverage EPA on successful plays | 2.35 | 1.10 |
| Rush EPA / play | 0.047 | −0.183 |
| Rush success | 22.2% | 29.8% |
| Pass EPA / play | 0.157 | 0.338 |
| Pass success | 34.8% | 50.0% |
| Standard-down success | 28.0% | 43.5% |
| Passing-down success | 29.4% | 21.7% |
| Line yards / carry | 1.14 | 2.80 |
| Stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line | 44.4% | 21.3% |
| Plays · drives | 42 · 10 | 85 · 11 |
Source: CollegeFootballData (CFBD): /games/teams box and /stats/game/advanced (all plays), games through 2026-11-12. Bold = the better side for that stat.