Week 3 · Saturday, Sep 19
Ball St at Liberty
FINAL · ESPN+ · Williams Stadium (VA)
Pregame HX
Liberty −21.4
86.7% to win
Vegas line
Liberty −14.5
O/U 49.5
HX pick
Right
Line missed by
14.6 pts
Pregame HX is the board frozen when this game was stamped FINAL; later refits never change it. Run it on today's board · Week 3 accuracy
Box score
Team totals
| Stat | Ball St | Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 17 | 23 |
| Total yards | 261 | 460 |
| Rushingcarries–yards | 35–168 | 40–212 |
| Yards per carry | 4.8 | 5.3 |
| Passingcomp/att, net yards | 10/21, 93 | 16/24, 248 |
| 3rd down | 1–9 | 10–13 |
| 4th down | 1–1 | 1–1 |
| TurnoversINT thrown + fumbles lost | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks (by defense) | 1 | 3 |
| Tackles for loss | 3 | 6 |
| Penaltiesnumber–yards | 11–107 | 3–25 |
| Time of possession | 28:01 | 31:59 |
Advanced
Offense, all plays
| Stat | Ball St | Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per offensive play | 0.182 | 0.503 |
| Success ratePlays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance | 46.6% | 53.1% |
| ExplosivenessAverage EPA on successful plays | 1.06 | 1.43 |
| Rush EPA / play | 0.350 | 0.343 |
| Rush success | 57.6% | 50.0% |
| Pass EPA / play | 0.009 | 0.777 |
| Pass success | 34.8% | 60.0% |
| Standard-down success | 53.8% | 47.9% |
| Passing-down success | 31.6% | 68.8% |
| Line yards / carry | 3.50 | 3.42 |
| Stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line | 12.1% | 10.5% |
| Plays · drives | 58 · 11 | 64 · 10 |
Source: CollegeFootballData (CFBD): /games/teams box and /stats/game/advanced (all plays), games through 2026-11-12. Bold = the better side for that stat.