Week 4 · Saturday, Sep 26
TCU at UCF
FINAL · FS1 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
Pregame HX
TCU −5.6
64.2% to win
Vegas line
TCU −3.0
O/U 48.5
HX pick
Wrong
Line missed by
13.6 pts
Pregame HX is the board frozen when this game was stamped FINAL; later refits never change it. Run it on today's board · Week 4 accuracy
Box score
Team totals
| Stat | TCU | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 18 | 17 |
| Total yards | 343 | 266 |
| Rushingcarries–yards | 27–33 | 33–106 |
| Yards per carry | 1.2 | 3.2 |
| Passingcomp/att, net yards | 25/40, 310 | 19/20, 160 |
| 3rd down | 7–16 | 3–10 |
| 4th down | 1–1 | 0–1 |
| TurnoversINT thrown + fumbles lost | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks (by defense) | 2 | 4 |
| Tackles for loss | 4 | 8 |
| Penaltiesnumber–yards | 11–86 | 4–45 |
| Time of possession | 32:49 | 27:11 |
Advanced
Offense, all plays
| Stat | TCU | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per offensive play | −0.069 | −0.051 |
| Success ratePlays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance | 36.8% | 45.5% |
| ExplosivenessAverage EPA on successful plays | 1.24 | 0.65 |
| Rush EPA / play | −0.250 | −0.473 |
| Rush success | 37.5% | 36.4% |
| Pass EPA / play | 0.040 | 0.599 |
| Pass success | 38.1% | 57.1% |
| Standard-down success | 47.5% | 50.0% |
| Passing-down success | 21.4% | 33.3% |
| Line yards / carry | 1.87 | 2.42 |
| Stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line | 20.8% | 21.2% |
| Plays · drives | 68 · 10 | 55 · 10 |
Source: CollegeFootballData (CFBD): /games/teams box and /stats/game/advanced (all plays), games through 2026-11-12. Bold = the better side for that stat.