Week 5 · Saturday, Oct 3
Louisville at NC State
FINAL · ACC Network · Carter-Finley Stadium
Pregame HX
NC State −0.6
51.6% to win
Vegas line
Louisville −6.5
O/U 60.5
HX pick
Right
Line missed by
2.4 pts
Pregame HX is the board frozen when this game was stamped FINAL; later refits never change it. Run it on today's board · Week 5 accuracy
Box score
Team totals
| Stat | Louisville | NC State |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 22 | 26 |
| Total yards | 485 | 493 |
| Rushingcarries–yards | 25–231 | 43–120 |
| Yards per carry | 9.2 | 2.8 |
| Passingcomp/att, net yards | 21/30, 254 | 25/41, 373 |
| 3rd down | 4–9 | 9–17 |
| 4th down | 0–1 | 1–1 |
| TurnoversINT thrown + fumbles lost | 3 | 1 |
| Sacks (by defense) | 2 | 3 |
| Tackles for loss | 3 | 5 |
| Penaltiesnumber–yards | 3–40 | 7–64 |
| Time of possession | 22:40 | 37:20 |
Advanced
Offense, all plays
| Stat | Louisville | NC State |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per offensive play | 0.234 | 0.263 |
| Success ratePlays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance | 48.1% | 39.5% |
| ExplosivenessAverage EPA on successful plays | 1.50 | 1.42 |
| Rush EPA / play | 0.044 | −0.149 |
| Rush success | 50.0% | 26.8% |
| Pass EPA / play | 0.364 | 0.675 |
| Pass success | 46.9% | 52.4% |
| Standard-down success | 54.1% | 34.0% |
| Passing-down success | 35.3% | 48.5% |
| Line yards / carry | 3.24 | 2.67 |
| Stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line | 27.3% | 9.8% |
| Plays · drives | 54 · 11 | 86 · 12 |
Source: CollegeFootballData (CFBD): /games/teams box and /stats/game/advanced (all plays), games through 2026-11-12. Bold = the better side for that stat.