Week 5 · Saturday, Oct 3
Navy at Air Force
FINAL · CBS · Falcon Stadium
Pregame HX
Navy −0.9
52.4% to win
Vegas line
Air Force −3.5
O/U 46.5
HX pick
Wrong
Line missed by
5.9 pts
Pregame HX is the board frozen when this game was stamped FINAL; later refits never change it. Run it on today's board · Week 5 accuracy
Box score
Team totals
| Stat | Navy | Air Force |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 11 | 17 |
| Total yards | 253 | 270 |
| Rushingcarries–yards | 30–110 | 59–188 |
| Yards per carry | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| Passingcomp/att, net yards | 8/18, 143 | 6/12, 82 |
| 3rd down | 1–11 | 9–18 |
| 4th down | 1–1 | 2–3 |
| TurnoversINT thrown + fumbles lost | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks (by defense) | 0 | 1 |
| Tackles for loss | 5 | 2 |
| Penaltiesnumber–yards | 5–45 | 2–20 |
| Time of possession | 23:59 | 36:01 |
Advanced
Offense, all plays
| Stat | Navy | Air Force |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per offensive play | −0.013 | −0.150 |
| Success ratePlays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance | 28.6% | 33.8% |
| ExplosivenessAverage EPA on successful plays | 1.22 | 1.10 |
| Rush EPA / play | −0.226 | −0.052 |
| Rush success | 27.6% | 35.6% |
| Pass EPA / play | 0.313 | −0.536 |
| Pass success | 31.6% | 30.8% |
| Standard-down success | 43.3% | 41.2% |
| Passing-down success | 5.3% | 17.4% |
| Line yards / carry | 3.13 | 2.54 |
| Stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line | 17.2% | 20.3% |
| Plays · drives | 49 · 11 | 74 · 11 |
Source: CollegeFootballData (CFBD): /games/teams box and /stats/game/advanced (all plays), games through 2026-11-12. Bold = the better side for that stat.