Week 7 · Saturday, Oct 17
UNC at Duke
FINAL · ESPN2 · Wallace Wade Stadium
Pregame HX
Duke −12.1
76.1% to win
Vegas line
Not on file
HX pick
Wrong
Line missed by
16.1 pts
Pregame HX is the board frozen when this game was stamped FINAL; later refits never change it. Run it on today's board · Week 7 accuracy
Box score
Team totals
| Stat | UNC | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 22 | 19 |
| Total yards | 326 | 373 |
| Rushingcarries–yards | 39–135 | 30–124 |
| Yards per carry | 3.5 | 4.1 |
| Passingcomp/att, net yards | 15/25, 191 | 24/41, 249 |
| 3rd down | 4–12 | 8–18 |
| 4th down | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| TurnoversINT thrown + fumbles lost | 2 | 1 |
| Sacks (by defense) | 1 | 2 |
| Tackles for loss | 2 | 5 |
| Penaltiesnumber–yards | 6–65 | 8–67 |
| Time of possession | 28:37 | 31:23 |
Advanced
Offense, all plays
| Stat | UNC | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per offensive play | 0.120 | 0.079 |
| Success ratePlays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance | 46.2% | 40.3% |
| ExplosivenessAverage EPA on successful plays | 1.05 | 1.21 |
| Rush EPA / play | −0.077 | −0.258 |
| Rush success | 43.2% | 44.8% |
| Pass EPA / play | 0.486 | 0.324 |
| Pass success | 53.8% | 36.6% |
| Standard-down success | 56.5% | 45.8% |
| Passing-down success | 21.1% | 29.2% |
| Line yards / carry | 2.71 | 3.13 |
| Stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line | 13.5% | 13.8% |
| Plays · drives | 65 · 11 | 72 · 10 |
Source: CollegeFootballData (CFBD): /games/teams box and /stats/game/advanced (all plays), games through 2026-11-12. Bold = the better side for that stat.