Skip to board
HASHMARK

Current HX · real 2026 schedule

Strength of record & schedule

Strength of record asks how much better your record is than a typical top-25 team's would be against the same opponents, at the same sites. The benchmark is the current No. 25 on the HX board (USC, HX 3.00). Schedule strength is the average current HX of FBS opponents, played and still to come.

AllSECBig TenACCBig 12IndependentGroup of FiveAmericanSun BeltMACCUSAMountain WestPac-12
Strength of recordSchedule playedSchedule left
32UTSA7–2 · HX No. 65
+0.32
SOR No. 32
Top-25 team
6.7–2.3
Played
-0.79 · No. 81
Left
-1.02 · No. 82
36North Texas7–2 · HX No. 58
+0.17
SOR No. 36
Top-25 team
6.8–2.2
Played
-1.08 · No. 87
Left
-1.64 · No. 91
37Memphis8–2 · HX No. 51
+0.12
SOR No. 37
Top-25 team
7.9–2.1
Played
-1.53 · No. 106
Left
-2.94 · No. 120
61Florida Atlantic6–3 · HX No. 87
−1.11
SOR No. 61
Top-25 team
7.1–1.9
Played
-1.50 · No. 104
Left
-0.89 · No. 78
77East Carolina5–4 · HX No. 86
−1.86
SOR No. 77
Top-25 team
6.9–2.1
Played
-1.06 · No. 86
Left
-2.74 · No. 115
81UAB5–4 · HX No. 110
−2.01
SOR No. 81
Top-25 team
7.0–2.0
Played
-1.54 · No. 107
Left
-1.00 · No. 80
84Army5–4 · HX No. 91
−2.08
SOR No. 84
Top-25 team
7.1–1.9
Played
-1.17 · No. 91
Left
-2.48 · No. 107
85Tulsa5–4 · HX No. 79
−2.11
SOR No. 85
Top-25 team
7.1–1.9
Played
-1.48 · No. 102
Left
-2.12 · No. 99
91South Florida6–4 · HX No. 76
−2.27
SOR No. 91
Top-25 team
8.3–1.7
Played
-2.06 · No. 120
Left
-1.99 · No. 98
103Tulane4–5 · HX No. 107
−2.91
SOR No. 103
Top-25 team
6.9–2.1
Played
-1.13 · No. 90
Left
-1.20 · No. 85
114Navy3–6 · HX No. 106
−3.70
SOR No. 114
Top-25 team
6.7–2.3
Played
-0.54 · No. 76
Left
-1.97 · No. 96
130Temple2–7 · HX No. 121
−5.13
SOR No. 130
Top-25 team
7.1–1.9
Played
-1.37 · No. 97
Left
-1.69 · No. 92
131Rice1–8 · HX No. 123
−5.25
SOR No. 131
Top-25 team
6.2–2.8
Played
0.39 · No. 64
Left
-2.55 · No. 110
133Charlotte1–8 · HX No. 132
−5.73
SOR No. 133
Top-25 team
6.7–2.3
Played
-0.74 · No. 80
Left
-1.57 · No. 89

Method

  • Benchmark: the current No. 25 team on the HX board. For each game already played, its win chance uses the HX matchup engine (Elo = 1500 + 55 × HX, 60 points home field, none at neutral sites). Against an FCS opponent it uses the season sim's fixed rule: 92% home, 88% away.
  • SOR = actual wins − the benchmark's expected wins on those games. +1.00 means one more win than a typical top-25 team would have.
  • Schedule played / left = average current HX of FBS opponents, ranked 1–138 (No. 1 = hardest). FCS opponents have no HX, so they are counted but left out of the average.
  • Everything uses current HX, so a win over a team that has since risen counts for more. Only real FINALs and the real remaining slate are used. More on The Model.