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HASHMARK

Current HX · real 2026 schedule

Strength of record & schedule

Strength of record asks how much better your record is than a typical top-25 team's would be against the same opponents, at the same sites. The benchmark is the current No. 25 on the HX board (USC, HX 3.00). Schedule strength is the average current HX of FBS opponents, played and still to come.

AllSECBig TenACCBig 12IndependentGroup of FiveAmericanSun BeltMACCUSAMountain WestPac-12
Strength of recordSchedule playedSchedule left
25Liberty8–1 · HX No. 38
+0.51
SOR No. 25
Top-25 team
7.5–1.5
Played
-2.80 · No. 135
Left
-3.31 · No. 131
31Louisiana Tech7–2 · HX No. 57
+0.32
SOR No. 31
Top-25 team
6.7–2.3
Played
-0.92 · No. 82
Left
-2.30 · No. 105
46Jacksonville State7–2 · HX No. 82
−0.56
SOR No. 46
Top-25 team
7.6–1.4
Played
-2.53 · No. 132
Left
-2.82 · No. 117
95Middle Tennessee5–4 · HX No. 124
−2.45
SOR No. 95
Top-25 team
7.5–1.5
Played
-2.09 · No. 121
Left
-2.53 · No. 109
107Delaware4–5 · HX No. 98
−3.16
SOR No. 107
Top-25 team
7.2–1.8
Played
-1.68 · No. 111
Left
-2.57 · No. 112
109Florida International4–5 · HX No. 105
−3.18
SOR No. 109
Top-25 team
7.2–1.8
Played
-1.73 · No. 113
Left
-3.47 · No. 134
113Western Kentucky3–6 · HX No. 115
−3.63
SOR No. 113
Top-25 team
6.6–2.4
Played
-1.22 · No. 93
Left
-0.72 · No. 71
115Missouri State3–6 · HX No. 122
−3.92
SOR No. 115
Top-25 team
6.9–2.1
Played
-1.57 · No. 108
Left
-1.11 · No. 83
116Kennesaw State3–6 · HX No. 117
−3.93
SOR No. 116
Top-25 team
6.9–2.1
Played
-0.94 · No. 84
Left
-3.55 · No. 135
121New Mexico State3–6 · HX No. 128
−4.11
SOR No. 121
Top-25 team
7.1–1.9
Played
-1.28 · No. 95
Left
-2.99 · No. 121
132UTEP1–8 · HX No. 136
−5.55
SOR No. 132
Top-25 team
6.6–2.4
Played
-0.38 · No. 74
Left
-3.46 · No. 133
134Sam Houston1–8 · HX No. 134
−5.81
SOR No. 134
Top-25 team
6.8–2.2
Played
-1.20 · No. 92
Left
-3.01 · No. 122

Method

  • Benchmark: the current No. 25 team on the HX board. For each game already played, its win chance uses the HX matchup engine (Elo = 1500 + 55 × HX, 60 points home field, none at neutral sites). Against an FCS opponent it uses the season sim's fixed rule: 92% home, 88% away.
  • SOR = actual wins − the benchmark's expected wins on those games. +1.00 means one more win than a typical top-25 team would have.
  • Schedule played / left = average current HX of FBS opponents, ranked 1–138 (No. 1 = hardest). FCS opponents have no HX, so they are counted but left out of the average.
  • Everything uses current HX, so a win over a team that has since risen counts for more. Only real FINALs and the real remaining slate are used. More on The Model.