Current HX · real 2026 schedule

Strength of record & schedule

Strength of record asks how much better your record is than a typical top-25 team's would be against the same opponents, at the same sites. The benchmark is the current No. 25 on the HX board (USC, HX 3.00). Schedule strength is the average current HX of FBS opponents, played and still to come.

All SEC Big Ten ACC Big 12 Independent Group of Five American Sun Belt MAC CUSA Mountain West Pac-12

Strength of record Schedule played Schedule left

Notre Dame8–1 · HX No. 4

#	Team	Record	Top-25 team	SOR	Schedule played	Schedule left
8	Notre DameIndependent · HX No. 4	8–1	5.9–3.1	+2.14No. 8	0.65 · No. 559 FBS	0.34 · No. 643 FBS
111	UConnIndependent · HX No. 93	4–51 vs FCS	7.4–1.6	−3.44No. 111	-1.98 · No. 1198 FBS	-1.40 · No. 873 FBS

Method

Benchmark: the current No. 25 team on the HX board. For each game already played, its win chance uses the HX matchup engine (Elo = 1500 + 55 × HX, 60 points home field, none at neutral sites). Against an FCS opponent it uses the season sim's fixed rule: 92% home, 88% away.
SOR = actual wins − the benchmark's expected wins on those games. +1.00 means one more win than a typical top-25 team would have.
Schedule played / left = average current HX of FBS opponents, ranked 1–138 (No. 1 = hardest). FCS opponents have no HX, so they are counted but left out of the average.
Everything uses current HX, so a win over a team that has since risen counts for more. Only real FINALs and the real remaining slate are used. More on The Model.